
Velora Grocers forecasts 2.1 million store and SKU pairs every night, nor'easters included.
Their old forecast averaged the last four weeks, so every first snowstorm emptied shelves of bread and milk while the ice cream sat untouched. We rebuilt it with weather, holiday and local event features, then fed it straight into replenishment.
- stockouts
- −31%
- fresh waste
- −18%
- forecast error
- −27%
How we built it
Hierarchical LightGBM with reconciliation across store, cluster and region; NOAA weather forecasts as features; a Databricks lakehouse replacing six nightly Excel exports. Live in 14 weeks, run by us since.











